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User Segmentation

User segmentation is dividing an audience into groups that behave differently enough to be treated differently — by firmographics, by plan, by acquisition channel, by feature usage, or by lifecycle stage. Its value comes from the fact that aggregate metrics average away the thing you need to see. A flat retention curve can hide a segment that retains superbly and one that never returns, and the correct action for those two populations is not the same. Segmentation is distinct from cohort analysis even though the words are used loosely. A cohort groups by a shared start time — everyone who signed up in March — and is how you see whether the product is improving over successive intakes. A segment groups by a shared attribute regardless of when they arrived, and is how you decide who to build for, price for, or message. Most analyses want both: retention by cohort, split by segment. Two practical cautions. Segments multiply quickly, and every extra cut shrinks the sample and raises the chance that an interesting difference is noise; a small number of segments defined for a decision beats an exhaustive taxonomy nobody uses. And behavioural segments computed after the fact are correlational — users who adopted a feature retaining better does not establish that the feature caused it, since the kind of user who adopts it may simply be more committed. Segmentation is best used to generate hypotheses and target work, with a test or a qualitative check before treating the difference as causal.

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